Thursday, March 16, 2023
HomePolíticaBeckham Jr. set for elevated workload

Beckham Jr. set for elevated workload


We head into divisional spherical Sunday going a mediocre 1-2 final week throughout wild-card weekend. Let’s be like Taylor Swift and “Shake It Off” and make some cash this week!

I’ve accomplished all of the give you the results you want right here in case you need to make your soccer Sunday just a little extra attention-grabbing by placing down just a little sprinkle.

Listed here are a number of the performs that may hopefully make your divisional spherical Sunday extra pleasant!

Document so far for the 2021 NFL season: 30-28 (-4.20 models)

Editor’s word: All betting traces are courtesy of Sports activities Interplay and are present as of the time of publication.

Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 3:00 p.m. ET

Wager to observe: WR Odell Beckham Jr. whole receiving yards (Over 47.5 -120, Below 47.5 -120)

The Buccaneers have gained a franchise-best 5 straight playoff video games and have scored a minimum of 30 factors in every of these victories. The Rams, in the meantime, are 2-0 towards the Bucs since Tom Brady went to Tampa. We need to zero in on Odell Beckham Jr.’s whole receiving yards prop right here.

Beckham hauled in 4 passes for 54 yards and a landing on 4 targets in Los Angeles’ 34-11 wild-card weekend destruction of Arizona final Monday evening. He additionally accomplished a 40-yard go! Since becoming a member of the Rams, Beckham Jr. has 31 receptions for 359 yards in 9 video games. The 29-year-old extensive receiver has additionally seen a ton of quantity these days. O-B-J has seen a minimum of 5 targets in six of his final eight video games totalling 49 targets. Beckham’s superior metrics are additionally stable. He’s averaging 1.65 air yards per snap, and his common depth of goal is 12.5 yards that are each above league common.

The Buccaneers, in the meantime, have given up a mean of 225.0 passing yards over their previous three video games and had the twenty third ranked go defence total. Tampa had no reply for Los Angeles’ passing assault of their Week 3 matchup. The Rams had 331 yards by means of the air that day highlighted by DeSean Jackson’s three catches for 120 yards.

Beckham was introduced in to switch Jackson as a deep risk and will have an enormous recreation in Tampa immediately. The Bucs have surrendered 563 receiving yards to extensive receivers over the previous 4 weeks which ranks twentieth within the NFL in that point span.

Decide: All the eye (and rightfully so) will likely be headed in the direction of shutting down triple-crown winner Cooper Kupp on this matchup for the Bucs. That would imply some further work for Odell Beckham Jr. immediately. This whole is simply too low together with his big-play capability and the truth that he’s obtained 49 targets over his previous eight video games. I feel there’s an excessive amount of worth right here with this matchup, so take Beckham’s receiving whole of 47.5 to go OVER at -120.

Buffalo Payments at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs, 6:30 p.m. ET

Wager(s) to observe: 1. WR Cole Beasley whole receiving yards (Over 28.5 -110, Below 28.5 -130)

2. QB Patrick Mahomes whole speeding yards (Over 25.5 -145, Below 25.5 +100)

Buffalo has misplaced eight straight playoff video games away from dwelling, together with Tremendous Bowl losses on the Rose Bowl and the Georgia Dome. The Chiefs have gained 5 straight playoff video games at Arrowhead Stadium which is the longest present streak within the NFL. The Payments beat up Kansas Metropolis 38-20 at Arrowhead in Week 5, however what we need to concentrate on is a pair of props right here.

Cole Beasley had only one reception for 19 yards on one goal within the Payments’ 47-17 trouncing of the Patriots throughout wild-card weekend final Saturday evening in Buffalo. Beasley actually hasn’t been a consider Buffalo’s offence these days. The 32-year-old extensive receiver had seven catches for 72 yards over his previous three video games.

The snap counts are what must be a priority of late for over bettors. Beasley performed simply 17 of 56 snaps (30.4 per cent) final week towards New England and didn’t exceed 52 per cent of Buffalo’s snaps on offence over the ultimate three video games of his common season. His superior metrics are additionally lacklustre. Beasley is averaging simply 0.92 air yards per snap, and his common depth of goal is a measly 5.4 yards that are each nicely beneath league common. He additionally had only one catch for 5 yards on two targets towards Kansas Metropolis in week 5 whereas taking part in simply 22 of 57 snaps (38.6 per cent) on offence.

The Chiefs, in the meantime, have given up a mean of 236.5 passing yards at dwelling this season which ranks 18th total within the NFL. KC additionally allowed simply 7.41 yards per goal to WRs over their eight weeks which ranks thirteenth within the NFL over that time-frame. Kansas Metropolis’s defence additionally improved within the second half of the yr after a disastrous first half. The Chiefs’ defence held opponents to only 13 factors per recreation throughout their eight-game successful streak.

Decide: That is all about Cole Beasley’s utilization. He was a non-factor in that Week 5 recreation in Kansas Metropolis and didn’t actually contribute to Buffalo’s massive win final week. He’s additionally not getting on the sector with Gabriel Davis and Isaiah McKenzie getting used extra with this new-look Payments offence. I feel there’s an excessive amount of worth right here with the underneath. Take Beasley’s receiving whole of 28.5 to go UNDER at -130.

On to our second participant prop, Patrick Mahomes threw for 404 yards and 5 touchdowns in final Sunday’s big 42-21 victory over Pittsburgh on wild-card weekend. Mahomes additionally rushed for 29 yards on three carries. Let’s speak extra about his speeding totals, these days we could?

The 26-year-old quarterback has racked up 108 yards speeding on 14 carries over his previous three video games. Mahomes ran everywhere in the Payments in that week 5 matchup by scampering for 61 yards on eight carries. He additionally had a 23-yard run in that recreation and has 5 runs this season which have exceeded 20 yards.

The Payments, in the meantime, have struggled to cease cell quarterbacks just lately. Buffalo has coughed up 6.83 yards per carry to QBs over their previous 4 weeks which ranks thirtieth within the NFL in that time-frame. The Payments have additionally allowed 82 yards on the bottom to quarterbacks over the previous 4 weeks which places them twenty fourth within the league in that span.

Decide: This recreation has the potential to be a shootout. Buffalo did a pleasant job of limiting Patrick Mahomes by means of the air earlier within the yr, and I see the same recreation plan from the Payments. That would as soon as once more open issues up for Mahomes to make use of his legs. Take Mahomes’ speeding whole of 25.5 to go OVER right here at -145.




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